How the Davante Adams trade affects fantasy and betting

After starting the season 2-4 and firing their coach just a week ago, the New York Jets made a big move, trading wide receiver Davante Adams from the Las Vegas Raiders for a conditional third-round pick. The acquisition of Adams reunites the receiver with a familiar face in Aaron Rodgers from their time together on the Green Bay Packers.

The Jets, who have been linked to Adams since the star requested a trade from the Raiders weeks ago, could look to the dynamic duo of Adams and Rodgers to spark an offense and a team that has had its fair share of issues through six games.

How will this trade impact fantasy teams? What should you do if you have Adams, Rodgers, or any of the other Jets players? Does the addition of Adams have implications for betting? Eric Karabell and Doug Greenberg delve into the ramifications of trading from the perspective of fantasy and betting.

Fantasy Reaction: Mood predictions for the Adams-Rodgers duo

Eric Karabell: I think acquiring Adams is a good thing for the Jets, but it’s hard to see how this trade suddenly solves all of the team’s problems. Fantasy managers should think similarly. Rodgers was a top-5 fantasy QB in 2021 (and in eight previous seasons) but hasn’t played well since. Adding Adams couldn’t hurt, but it assumes Allen Lazard or Mike Williams were holding Rodgers back statistically. The Jets still boast two very valuable young running backs, so don’t expect them to get rid of that part of the offense.

I moved Rodgers up several spots in my end-of-season rankings, but not into the top 15 at the deep QB position. He’s averaging 14.3 regular-season PPR fantasy points per game, which ranks 23rd among QBs. He won’t suddenly average 20 PPG. Adams should fulfill the expected obligations of a WR2 option, but I consider teammate Garrett Wilson more valuable. Although the Jets offense is certainly betting today, these are not the same versions of Rodgers and Adams that played in Green Bay, so it’s best to keep a close eye on the forecast.

Mike Clay: The Jets’ passing game received a major jolt on Tuesday when the team acquired Adams from the Raiders. Adams (hamstring) will likely be out or limited in his Jets debut this week, but the bottom line is: Adams has a long relationship with Rodgers and is a sure bet to handle a significant target share in the 25-30% range. This of course means fewer targets for others, especially secondary options like Allen Lazard, Mike Williams and Tyler Conklin. None of these players think about providing consistent fantasy options. Wilson will likely see a slight decline, but especially after he just posted back-to-back top 5 fantasy games, he will join Adams in the weekly WR1 mix. Aaron Rodgers’ streaming value received a boost, though his lack of explosiveness will continue to limit his ceiling. Hall’s target share may see a slight drop, but not enough to take him out of the RB1 mix. This offense presents a very tough challenge against Pittsburgh here in Week 7, but Hall, Wilson and — if he plays — Adams should be in the lineup.

Adams’ departure keeps Trey Tucker in a full-time role, but boom/bust production should be expected. He has two 15-plus fantasy point attempts this season, but four games with 5.0 or fewer points. While a healthy Jacoby Myers (nine-plus goals in three straight games) is a lock to the lineup in this matchup against the Los Angeles Rams, Tucker should only be taken into consideration if Myers remains on the sidelines.

Betting Reaction: Jets see slight odds movement after trading Adams

Doug Greenberg: It’s been a turbulent 12 hours or so for the Jets in terms of betting odds. Before “Monday Night Football,” New York was +105 to make the playoffs, +1800 to win the AFC title, and +3000 to win the Super Bowl on ESPN BET. After a close loss to the Buffalo Bills, those odds dropped to +155, +2000 and +4000, respectively. Then, when the Jets traded for Adams, those odds improved again to +145 for the playoffs, +1800 for the conference, and +3500 for the Super Bowl — meaning the odds of winning the AFC went back to where they started before the MNF. .

The Adams trade had a brief, but fleeting, impact on the upcoming Jets-Steelers game Sunday night as well. NYJ opened as 1.5-point underdogs and earned a +2.5 before flipping to -1. Then, immediately after the Adams news, the Jets quickly jumped to -1.5 before returning to -1. The contest total increased from 36.5 to 37.5. If the lead holds, it would be the first time New York has been favored against Pittsburgh since 2003, breaking an 11-game winning streak, according to ESPN research. As for the action, ESPN BET reports that since Tuesday morning, the Jets have 29% of the bets and 44% of the handle to win the Super Bowl. They are also the only team to take any bets to win the AFC or AFC East title on Tuesday morning.