Argonauts vs Tiger-Cats Prediction, Picks, & Odds

The Toronto Argonauts face off against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in CFL action on Saturday.

Hamilton is eyeing its first win of the year, and my Argonauts vs. Tiger-Cats predictions for this Week 7 showdown expect the home team to lean on the passing game.

Here are my best free CFL picks for July 20.

Argonauts vs Tiger-Cats prediction

My best bet
James Butler Under 54.5 rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel)

My analysis

Although Hamilton Tiger-Cats running back James Butler exploded for 119 yards in the season opener, he’s been held in check since.

Butler was held to 27 yards on 12 carries in Week 2, and in the following game, he exited with an injury in the fourth quarter after tallying just 10 yards on five attempts. After missing Week 4 with that head injury, he returned to the lineup in Week 5 and racked up just 29 yards on nine rushes.

Entering the weekend, the Toronto Argonauts are holding opponents to just 59.2 rushing yards per game and 3.9 yards per carry — both good for second-best in the league.

The Ticats have leaned heavily on their aerial attack, passing on 73.9% of their downs — easily the highest mark in the CFL. Expect that trend to continue against an Argos stop unit that has been vulnerable through the air but stingy on the ground. 

With Butler getting limited carries, expect him to be held below his rushing yards total.  

Argonauts vs Tiger-Cats same-game parlay (SGP)

James Butler Under 54.5 rushing yards

Cameron Dukes Under 248.5 passing yards

Tiger-Cats alt spread +7.5

With star quarterback Chad Kelly continuing to serve a lengthy suspension, Cameron Dukes has been under center for Toronto. While he threw for 254 yards in Week 1, he has failed to crack the 220-yard in four games since. 

Dukes is generally accurate and makes solid decisions, but he can’t attack downfield. He’s averaging just 6.3 yards per attempt over his last three games, so his passing yards total for Saturday is way too high.

I was leaning towards the Ticats earlier this week at +5.5, but with this line moving under that key number of 3, I’m staying away from the spread. However, I do like the alternate spread option and moving Hamilton’s line past +7 for this SGP.

The Argos destroyed the previously unbeaten Alouettes last week, but going from the defending champs to the winless Ticats is a prime letdown spot. When you consider that Hamilton is playing at home fresh off a bye, the team should be competitive in this spot. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Argonauts vs Tiger-Cats odds

Argonauts vs Tiger-Cats live odds

Argonauts vs Tiger-Cats opening odds

• Spread: Toronto -5 (-110) | Hamilton +5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Toronto -225 | Hamilton +180
• Over/Under: Over 52 (-110) | Under 52 (-110)

Argonauts vs Tiger-Cats spread and Over/Under analysis

• Early money has poured in on the Ticats and the Over, slimming the spread from Toronto -5 to -2.5 and moving the total up to 53.
• The Argonauts are coming off a 37-18 upset win against the Als to improve to 3-2 straight up and 2-3 against the spread.
• The Ticats are 0-5 SU and ATS despite ranking second in the league in yards per game (391.6) and third in yards per play (6.84).
• According to Pro Football Focus, the Argos boast the highest-graded offensive line and defensive line in the CFL. 

Argonauts vs Tiger-Cats trend

The Over is 8-1 in Toronto’s last nine games. Find more CFL betting trends for Argonauts vs. Tiger-Cats.

Argonauts vs Tiger-Cats game info

Argonauts vs Tiger-Cats key injuries

Argonauts: Tunde Adeleke CB (Out), Jake Ceresna DE (Questionable), Jordan Williams DT (Out), Folarin Orimolade DE (Out), David Ungerer III WR (Out), Dejon Brissett WR (Out), Darius Ciraco OL (Out).
Tiger-Cats: Stavros Katsantonis S (Questionable), Joel Figueroa LT (Out), Jordan Murray OT (Out), Enock Makonzo LB (Out), Lawrence Woods III WR/KR (Out), Brendan O’Leary-Orange WR (Out).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.

Argonauts vs Tiger-Cats weather

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